Por favor, use este identificador para citar o enlazar este Item:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12105/16065
Título
Epidemic Diffusion Network of Spain: A Mobility Model to Characterize the Transmission Routes of Disease
Autor(es)
Del-Águila-Mejía, Javier | García-García, David ISCIII | Rojas-Benedicto, Ayelén ISCIII | Rosillo, Nicolás | Guerrero-Vadillo, María ISCIII | Peñuelas, Marina ISCIII | Ramis, Rebeca ISCIII | Gomez-Barroso, Diana ISCIII | Donado-Campos, Juan de Mata
Fecha de publicación
2023-02-28
Cita
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Feb 28;20(5):4356.
Idioma
Inglés
Tipo de documento
journal article
Resumen
Human mobility drives the geographical diffusion of infectious diseases at different scales, but few studies focus on mobility itself. Using publicly available data from Spain, we define a Mobility Matrix that captures constant flows between provinces by using a distance-like measure of effective distance to build a network model with the 52 provinces and 135 relevant edges. Madrid, Valladolid and Araba/Álaba are the most relevant nodes in terms of degree and strength. The shortest routes (most likely path between two points) between all provinces are calculated. A total of 7 mobility communities were found with a modularity of 63%, and a relationship was established with a cumulative incidence of COVID-19 in 14 days (CI14) during the study period. In conclusion, mobility patterns in Spain are governed by a small number of high-flow connections that remain constant in time and seem unaffected by seasonality or restrictions. Most of the travels happen within communities that do not completely represent political borders, and a wave-like spreading pattern with occasional long-distance jumps (small-world properties) can be identified. This information can be incorporated into preparedness and response plans targeting locations that are at risk of contagion preventively, underscoring the importance of coordination between administrations when addressing health emergencies.
Palabras clave
Disease modelling | Epidemiology | Infectious diseases | Mobility | Networks | Spatial epidemiology | Transmission
MESH
Versión en línea
DOI
Aparece en las colecciones
Ficheros en el ítem
- Nombre:
- EpidemicDiffusionNetworkSpain_ ...
- Tamaño:
- 3.014Mb
- Formato:
- Descripción:
- Articulo
- Nombre:
- Supplementary_EpidemicDiffusio ...
- Tamaño:
- 699.3Kb
- Formato:
- Descripción:
- Supplementary material