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dc.contributor.authorGarcía-García, David
dc.contributor.authorHerranz-Hernández, Rafael
dc.contributor.authorRojas-Benedicto, Ayelén
dc.contributor.authorLeón-Gómez, Inmaculada 
dc.contributor.authorLarrauri, Amparo 
dc.contributor.authorPeñuelas, Marina
dc.contributor.authorGuerrero-Vadillo, María
dc.contributor.authorRamis, Rebeca 
dc.contributor.authorGomez-Barroso, Diana 
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-20T10:00:44Z
dc.date.available2022-05-20T10:00:44Z
dc.date.issued2022-02-03
dc.identifier.citationBMC Public Health. 2022 Feb 3;22(1):216.es_ES
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12105/14433
dc.description.abstractBackground: A unique policy of perimeter closures of Basic Health Zones (small administrative health units) was implemented in the Autonomous Community of Madrid from September 21st 2020 to May 23rd 2021 to face the COVID-19 pandemic. Aim: To assess the impact of local perimeter confinements on the 14-days cumulative incidence of SARS-CoV-2 during the second wave of the pandemic in Madrid, Spain. Methods: We compare the errors in estimation of two families of mathematical models: ones that include the perimeter closures as explanatory covariables and ones that do not, in search of a significant improvement in estimation of one family over the other. We incorporate leave-one-out cross-validation, and at each step of this process we select the best model in AIC score from a family of 15 differently tuned ones. Results: The two families of models provided very similar estimations, for a 1- to 3-weeks delay in observed cumulative incidence, and also when restricting the analysis to only those Basic Health Zones that were subject to at least one closure during the time under study. In all cases the correlation between the errors yielded by both families of models was higher than 0.98 (±10- 3 95% CI), and the average difference of estimated 14-days cumulative incidence was smaller than 1.49 (±0.33 95% CI). Conclusion: Our analysis suggests that the perimeter closures by Basic Health Zone did not have a significant effect on the epidemic curve in Madrid.es_ES
dc.description.sponsorshipThis research has been financed by Carlos III Health Institute (ISCIII) under the project COV20–00881.es_ES
dc.language.isoenges_ES
dc.publisherBioMed Central (BMC) es_ES
dc.relation.isversionofPublisher's versiones_ES
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectCovid-19es_ES
dc.subjectMadrides_ES
dc.subjectPerimeter closureses_ES
dc.subjectSpaines_ES
dc.titlePerimeter confinements of basic health zones and COVID-19 incidence in Madrid, Spaines_ES
dc.typeArtículoes_ES
dc.rights.licenseAtribución 4.0 Internacional*
dc.identifier.pubmedID35109838es_ES
dc.format.volume22es_ES
dc.format.number1es_ES
dc.format.page216es_ES
dc.identifier.doi10.1186/s12889-022-12626-xes_ES
dc.contributor.funderInstituto de Salud Carlos III es_ES
dc.description.peerreviewedes_ES
dc.identifier.e-issn1471-2458es_ES
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-12626-xes_ES
dc.identifier.journalBMC Public Healthes_ES
dc.repisalud.centroISCIII::Centro Nacional de Epidemologíaes_ES
dc.repisalud.institucionISCIIIes_ES
dc.rights.accessRightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesses_ES
dc.relation.projectFISinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/COV20-00881es_ES


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Atribución 4.0 Internacional
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