2026-08-29T11:03:50Zhttps://repisalud.isciii.es/rest/oai/request

oai:repisalud.isciii.es:20.500.12105/269582025-11-22T01:19:32Zcom_20.500.12105_2052com_20.500.12105_2051col_20.500.12105_19608

00925njm 22002777a 4500 dc Ramis, Rebeca author García-Pérez, Javier author Pollan-Santamaria, Marina author Aragones, Nuria author Perez-Gomez, Beatriz author Lopez-Abente, Gonzalo author 2007-02 Objectives: To study the geographical pattern of mortality caused by haematological tumours in Spain at the municipal level using three Bayesian models and to compare their goodness of fit. Methods: The fitted Bayesian hierarchical models were: (1) the Besag York and Molliè (BYM) model; (2) a model based on zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) distribution, which allowed a large number of event-free areas; and (3) a mixture of distributions that enabled discontinuities (jumps in the pattern) to be modelled. The three models allow smoothed relative risk maps to be obtained for the all countries. The goodness of fit was evaluated using the deviance information criteria. Results: The three models yielded similar results. The ZIP model plotted a pattern almost identical with the BYM model. The goodness-of-fit criteria indicate that the mixture model is the one that best fits our data. Haematological tumours display a geographical pattern that could be partly explained by environmental determinants, as many of the highest-risk towns are located in heavily industrialised areas. Conclusions: The choice of one or another model has scant practical consequences. The pattern of distribution supports the hypothesis that differences in lifestyles, air/industrial pollution and migratory phenomena may determine the pattern of urban mortality due to these tumours. Ramis-Prieto R, Garcia-Perez J, Pollan M, Aragones N, Perez-Gomez B, Lopez-Abente G. Modelling of municipal mortality due to haematological neoplasias in Spain. J Epidemiol Commun H 2007; 61(2): 165-171. DOI: 10.1136/jech.2005.041491. 10.1136/jech.2005.041491 Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 17234878 https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12105/26958 Modelling of municipal mortality due to haematological neoplasias in Spain.