2026-07-21T07:35:37Zhttps://repisalud.isciii.es/rest/oai/requestoai:repisalud.isciii.es:20.500.12105/255362025-12-18T12:56:50Zcom_20.500.12105_2052com_20.500.12105_2051col_20.500.12105_19609
Repisalud
author
Gálvez, Rosa
author
Descalzo, Miguel Angel
author
Guerrero, Irene
author
Miró, Guadalupe
author
Molina, Ricardo
funder
Instituto de Salud Carlos III
funder
Unión Europea. Comisión Europea. 6 Programa Marco
2024-11-19T14:12:45Z
2024-11-19T14:12:45Z
2011-07
Vector Borne Zoonotic Dis. 2011 Jul;11(7):799-806.
10.1089/vbz.2010.0109
1557-7759
1530-3667
Vector borne and zoonotic diseases
21417927
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12105/25536
Leishmaniosis caused by Leishmania infantum is a widespread zoonotic disease that is endemic in the Mediterranean basin. Based on prior point abundance data for the two sand fly vectors of leishmaniosis in the Madrid region (Phlebotomus perniciosus and Phlebotomus ariasi), models were constructed to predict the spatial distribution patterns of these vectors. The models were obtained by negative binomial regression of several environmental variables and then used to map vector distributions. To validate the maps, we used serological prevalence data of Leishmania infection in dogs and incidence data were obtained through questionnaires completed by veterinarians in the region. Seropositive dogs and veterinary clinics registering a higher incidence of canine leishmaniosis appeared closer to our modeled vector foci. In the face of climate change, we simulated the future distributions of the sand flies for each third of the 21st century and predicted their spread in the region.
eng
Phlebotomus perniciosus
Phlebotomus ariasi
Leishmania infantum
Climate change
GIS
Spatial analysis
Mapping the current distribution and predicted spread of the leishmaniosis sand fly vector in the madrid region (Spain) based on environmental variables and expected climate change
research article
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URL
https://repisalud.isciii.es/bitstreams/8bd7d427-cdc3-420d-b588-b9720527a2c7/download
File
MD5
a4802ac6bb6eb851c9df20b35650d930
831934
application/pdf
MappingCurrentDistributionPredictedLeishmaniosis_2011.pdf