2026-06-14T03:52:23Zhttps://repisalud.isciii.es/rest/oai/requestoai:repisalud.isciii.es:20.500.12105/147272025-05-12T08:13:24Zcom_20.500.12105_2052com_20.500.12105_2051col_20.500.12105_19614
Repisalud
author
Maqueda-Blasco, Jeronimo
author
Silva, Agustín
author
Cortes-Barragan, Rosana
author
Gamo González, María Fe
2022-07-19T07:52:03Z
2022-07-19T07:52:03Z
2021
Open j. prev. med, 2021;11(4):91-112
10.4236/ojpm.2021.114009
2162-2485
2162-2477
Open Journal of Preventive Medicine
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12105/14727
Background: The investigation of an occupational outbreak, once the index case has been identified, triggers a stress situation to epidemiologists. Modelling occupational outbreaks will be useful to guide the field investigation. Objective: To identify standard pathways for occupational epidemic outbreaks. Methods: In-depth critical appraisal of 57 occupational outbreaks. Standard pathways of occupational outbreaks were identified by analysing the similarity between out-breaks. The model’s accuracy and homogeneity were established through Fisher’s exact test and the Kappa Index. Results: The analysis allowed synthesizing the occupational outbreaks variability in 4 pathways. 92.98% of the analysed outbreaks could be allocated to one of those 4 types. The theoretical patterns showed a good adjustment with the analysed out-breaks: Type I (Kappa = 0.94 - 0.60), Type II (Kappa = 1.00), Type III (Kappa = 1.00 - 0.68) and Type IV (Kappa = 0.94 - 0.87). The probability of a given outbreak fitting with its three components in any of the theoretical pathways was 0.83. Conclusions: The incorporation of those pathways to the field occupational epidemiology will allow: 1) to provide early guidance to epidemiological, clinical and environmental studies focused on specific hypothesis of causality; 2) to anticipate preventive measures; 3) to contribute to an earlier and more efficient outbreak resolution.
eng
Occupational Outbreak
Occupational Diseases
Working Exposure
Field Epidemiology
Modelling Pathways for Outbreaks in Field Occupational Epidemiology
research article
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ModellingPathwaysForOutbreaks_2021.pdf
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ModellingPathwaysForOutbreaks_2021.pdf.txt